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Evidence Registry V1

Sources and evidence status

The registry makes every factor, provisional weight, caveat, and source-review status visible.

Literature review in progress

The current factors and weights are provisional. No factor below is presented as supported by a reviewed citation yet.

Current factors

Less sleep than personal baselineincreases estimate · V1 weight +18

Direction and weight require review against longitudinal arthritis research.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper
High-intensity or strenuous activityincreases estimate · V1 weight +14

Activity may be protective or aggravating depending on type, dose, and person.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper
Increasing recent stiffnessincreases estimate · V1 weight +16

This is a personal trajectory signal; comparable published definitions may differ.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper
Higher recorded stressincreases estimate · V1 weight +10

Self-reported stress and symptom reporting can influence each other.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper
Recent illnessincreases estimate · V1 weight +12

Illness type, timing, and treatment are not captured in V1.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper
Recent travelincreases estimate · V1 weight +7

Travel combines several possible exposures and may not be an independent factor.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper
Missed planned medicationincreases estimate · V1 weight +15

Medication effects vary and this tracker must not recommend changing treatment.

Evidence: awaiting review · Population: To be entered from the reviewed paper

What this means

The registry is a transparency mechanism, not proof that the prototype predicts clinical outcomes accurately. JointJournal does not yet use a clinically calibrated population model. Sources will be added only after paper-level review.